TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12338578
Played Jul 31Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119118118––
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8
75 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 4–9 Lukas Veigl Ondrej Kaderabek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 2.10 / Veigl 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Veigl)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12338578
Kaderabek2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 45 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Veigl1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaderabek3wins
AwayVeigl7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVeigl87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek2Veigl8n = 10Veigl took 8 of 10
S2Kaderabek5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S3Kaderabek2Veigl8n = 10Veigl took 8 of 10
S4Kaderabek3Veigl4n = 7Veigl took 4 of 7
S5Kaderabek2Veigl1n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaderabekVeiglK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.341.3−6.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 402 vs 295 / 57851%51%205 / 402 vs 295 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglKaderabek 2.10/Veigl 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 05:15O. Kaderabek—911681L. Veigl—11511113
WMay 13 · 15:15O. Kaderabek—7111411113L. Veigl—11916882
WJan 26 · 15:15O. Kaderabek—134128123L. Veigl—11111011102
LDec 3 · 14:45O. Kaderabek—67100L. Veigl—1111123
LOct 2 · 05:45O. Kaderabek—671191L. Veigl—11118113
LOct 1 · 20:23O. Kaderabek—5119111L. Veigl—11911133
LOct 1 · 18:15O. Kaderabek—4670L. Veigl—1111113
WSep 25 · 07:15O. Kaderabek—11115113L. Veigl—481181
LAug 16 · 06:15O. Kaderabek—312812102L. Veigl—11101110123
LAug 14 · 08:21O. Kaderabek—9690L. Veigl—1111113
O. Kaderabek10
LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 12:25O. Kaderabek2.00116881L. Heinzl1.7371111113LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870WJul 31 · 07:45V. Burylov1.8371060O. Kaderabek1.831112113WJul 31 · 06:45L. Dobias1.73911391O. Kaderabek2.0011511113LJul 31 · 05:15L. Veigl1.6711511113O. Kaderabek2.10911681
L. Veigl10
WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WJul 31 · 05:15L. Veigl1.6711511113O. Kaderabek2.10911681
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.