TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333883
Played Jul 31Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012611––––
Ondrej Kaderabek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kaderabek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Ondrej Kaderabek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Kaderabek at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 1–2 Ondrej Kaderabek Volodymyr Burylov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kaderabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1691 vs Kaderabek 1654
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 40% vs Kaderabek 80%
Kaderabek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 40% vs Kaderabek 70%
Kaderabek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov -1 · Kaderabek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaderabek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaderabek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.83 / Kaderabek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kaderabek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12333883
Burylov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kaderabek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBurylov1wins
AwayKaderabek2wins
Kaderabek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov2Kaderabek1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S2Burylov1Kaderabek2n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
S3Burylov1Kaderabek2n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBurylovKaderabekB − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.335.0−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovKaderabekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 348 vs 206 / 40650.6%50.7%176 / 348 vs 206 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekBurylov 1.83/Kaderabek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kaderabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 31 · 07:45V. Burylov—71060O. Kaderabek—1112113
WMay 25 · 06:45V. Burylov—1111113O. Kaderabek—8990
LMay 9 · 08:00V. Burylov—1391061O. Kaderabek—111112113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
O. Kaderabek10
LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 12:25O. Kaderabek2.00116881L. Heinzl1.7371111113LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870WJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881WJul 31 · 06:45L. Dobias1.73911391O. Kaderabek2.0011511113LJul 31 · 05:15L. Veigl1.6711511113O. Kaderabek2.10911681
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