TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12345988
Played Aug 1Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611811811––
Lukas Heinzl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 3–7 Lukas Heinzl Ondrej Kaderabek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Heinzl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 2.00 / Heinzl 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Heinzl)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12345988
Kaderabek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 48 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Heinzl1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 135 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it77% 101 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaderabek3wins
AwayHeinzl7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHeinzl leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHeinzl85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek3Heinzl7n = 10Heinzl took 7 of 10
S2Kaderabek2Heinzl8n = 10Heinzl took 8 of 10
S3Kaderabek4Heinzl6n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S4Kaderabek2Heinzl4n = 6Heinzl took 4 of 6
S5Kaderabek3Heinzl2n = 5Kaderabek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaderabekHeinzlK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.141.6−7.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 405 vs 345 / 63650.9%54.3%206 / 405 vs 345 / 636Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlKaderabek 2.00/Heinzl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 09:45O. Kaderabek—9870L. Heinzl—1111113
LJun 30 · 06:00O. Kaderabek—1121231L. Heinzl—81114113
LJun 29 · 12:18O. Kaderabek—8880L. Heinzl—1111113
LJun 29 · 10:15O. Kaderabek—911411142L. Heinzl—119114163
WJun 9 · 06:45O. Kaderabek—1161110113L. Heinzl—91191262
LJun 8 · 05:15O. Kaderabek—11550L. Heinzl—1311113
LJun 4 · 12:00O. Kaderabek—58111172L. Heinzl—111199113
LMay 12 · 09:45O. Kaderabek—2530L. Heinzl—1111113
WMay 7 · 12:48O. Kaderabek—711118113L. Heinzl—11981192
WMay 7 · 11:45O. Kaderabek—114119113L. Heinzl—51191152
O. Kaderabek10
LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870WJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881WJul 31 · 07:45V. Burylov1.8371060O. Kaderabek1.831112113WJul 31 · 06:45L. Dobias1.73911391O. Kaderabek2.0011511113LJul 31 · 05:15L. Veigl1.6711511113O. Kaderabek2.10911681
L. Heinzl10
LSep 7 · 08:49M. Zelinka1.8311812113L. Heinzl1.839111091LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113LSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361LSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113LSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791WAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113LAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113WAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870
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