TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015034
Played Aug 26Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Ladislav Dobias
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Petr Wasik at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 8–11 Ladislav Dobias Petr Wasik has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Dobias
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1820 vs Dobias 1800
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 60% vs Dobias 80%
Dobias
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 60% vs Dobias 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -1 · Dobias +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobias form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.80 / Dobias 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wasik)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13015034
Wasik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Dobias1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik4wins
AwayDobias6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik50%2 of 4
AwayDobias66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S2Wasik5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S3Wasik3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S4Wasik5Dobias4n = 9Wasik took 5 of 9
S5Wasik3Dobias3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikDobiasW − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.444.1−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 118 vs 404 / 72461.9%55.8%73 / 118 vs 404 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.341.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.80/Dobias 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik—8880L. Dobias—1111113
LAug 21 · 12:23P. Wasik—11612862L. Dobias—8111011113
WAug 21 · 11:15P. Wasik—913511133L. Dobias—1111118112
WAug 14 · 08:19P. Wasik—1191110113L. Dobias—61181292
LAug 14 · 07:15P. Wasik—91171162L. Dobias—117113113
LMay 29 · 06:15P. Wasik—1161271L. Dobias—81114113
LMay 26 · 12:43P. Wasik—1611811102L. Dobias—187119123
WMay 26 · 09:15P. Wasik—11411153L. Dobias—4115131
WMay 20 · 09:15P. Wasik—8111111113L. Dobias—11713842
LApr 22 · 12:19P. Wasik—711981L. Dobias—11611113
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113
L. Dobias10
LSep 8 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73971181M. Zelinka2.0011117113WSep 8 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.10711912102L. Dobias1.671161110123WSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100WSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190
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