TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094666
Played Sep 8Finished
Ladislav Dobias
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191210––––
Vojtech Grubr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 65.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 19–15 Vojtech Grubr Vojtech Grubr has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dobias
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Dobias
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobias 1792 vs Grubr 1611
Dobias
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobias 40% vs Grubr 20%
Dobias
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobias 60% vs Grubr 40%
Dobias
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobias +1 · Grubr -3
Grubr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.50 / Grubr 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Dobias)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094666
Dobias1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 205 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 146 of 182
Grubr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias8wins
AwayGrubr2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias87.5%7 of 8
AwayGrubrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias8Grubr2n = 10Dobias took 8 of 10
S2Dobias5Grubr5n = 10split evenly
S3Dobias6Grubr4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Dobias4Grubr3n = 7Dobias took 4 of 7
S5Dobias3Grubr0n = 3Dobias took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasGrubrD − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.2+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 733 vs 231 / 46455.8%49.8%409 / 733 vs 231 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.140.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.50/Grubr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias—1111123V. Grubr—89100
WJul 22 · 08:28L. Dobias—1111113V. Grubr—9690
WJul 22 · 05:30L. Dobias—11117113V. Grubr—741141
WJul 21 · 14:45L. Dobias—1131411113V. Grubr—81116652
WJun 15 · 18:15L. Dobias—1112113V. Grubr—91090
LJun 11 · 07:45L. Dobias—1181191V. Grubr—51113113
LMay 21 · 12:49L. Dobias—1031181V. Grubr—12113113
WMay 21 · 11:45L. Dobias—118119113V. Grubr—51131182
WMay 6 · 10:45L. Dobias—1161011113V. Grubr—51112872
WMay 5 · 08:18L. Dobias—131818113V. Grubr—15161661
L. Dobias10
WSep 8 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.10711912102L. Dobias1.671161110123WSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113
V. Grubr10
LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Dobias
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V. Grubr
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