Ladislav Dobias vs Matus Zelinka 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13034548

Played Aug 28Finished

Ladislav Dobias

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

119711611811––

Matus Zelinka

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Matus Zelinka below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 74 set 4, 8-11

74 points played in total.

H2H Ladislav Dobias 31–25 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 25 of their 56 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dobias)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dobias form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDobias 1.57 / Zelinka 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Dobias)+0.4pp

Setka Cup · #13034548

Dobias1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 220 of 372

Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74

Up 1–0, closes it80% 155 of 193

Zelinka2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog56% won 33 of 59

Down 0–1, comes back41% 14 of 34

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDobias6wins

AwayZelinka4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDobias71.4%5 of 7

AwayZelinka66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dobias7Zelinka3n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10

S2Dobias6Zelinka4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10

S3Dobias5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly

S4Dobias3Zelinka2n = 5Dobias took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDobiasZelinkaD − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.332.0+3.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDobiasZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 730 vs 192 / 36755.8%52.3%407 / 730 vs 192 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dobias

Dobias 1.57/Zelinka 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.3%

Dobias · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Zelinka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 28 · 05:45L. Dobias—1194101M. Zelinka—81111123

WAug 25 · 08:53L. Dobias—113811113M. Zelinka—61111532

LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias—111091152M. Zelinka—912113113

WAug 24 · 06:15L. Dobias—1111123M. Zelinka—77100

WAug 7 · 08:38L. Dobias—1111113M. Zelinka—6690

LAug 7 · 06:30L. Dobias—7970M. Zelinka—1111113

WJul 29 · 05:15L. Dobias—1111113M. Zelinka—7490

LMay 10 · 12:18L. Dobias—811581M. Zelinka—11911113

WMay 10 · 11:15L. Dobias—1111113M. Zelinka—7870

WMay 6 · 12:29L. Dobias—81111113M. Zelinka—118781

L. Dobias10

WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192 LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681 LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101 WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062 LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190 WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113 WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113 WAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113 LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113 WAug 25 · 06:15M. Stibor2.105680L. Dobias1.671111113

M. Zelinka10

LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951 LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182 LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971 WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102 LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113 WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992 LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113 WAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101 LAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113 WAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113

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