TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031266
Played Aug 28Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711116118––
Ladislav Dobias
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 9–12 Ladislav Dobias Petr Wasik has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dobias
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Dobias
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1804 vs Dobias 1775
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 0% vs Dobias 60%
Dobias
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 30% vs Dobias 70%
Dobias
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -5 · Dobias -1
Wasik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.83 / Dobias 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dobias)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031266
Wasik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Dobias1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik4wins
AwayDobias6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik50%3 of 6
AwayDobias75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik6Dobias4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S2Wasik3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S3Wasik5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S4Wasik5Dobias4n = 9Wasik took 5 of 9
S5Wasik2Dobias4n = 6Dobias took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikDobiasW − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.044.1−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 125 vs 407 / 73160.8%55.7%76 / 125 vs 407 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.141.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasWasik 1.83/Dobias 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik—11711113L. Dobias—711681
LAug 26 · 12:13P. Wasik—115111062L. Dobias—911712113
LAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik—8880L. Dobias—1111113
LAug 21 · 12:23P. Wasik—11612862L. Dobias—8111011113
WAug 21 · 11:15P. Wasik—913511133L. Dobias—1111118112
WAug 14 · 08:19P. Wasik—1191110113L. Dobias—61181292
LAug 14 · 07:15P. Wasik—91171162L. Dobias—117113113
LMay 29 · 06:15P. Wasik—1161271L. Dobias—81114113
LMay 26 · 12:43P. Wasik—1611811102L. Dobias—187119123
WMay 26 · 09:15P. Wasik—11411153L. Dobias—4115131
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113
L. Dobias10
LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113WAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113WAug 25 · 06:15M. Stibor2.105680L. Dobias1.671111113
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