TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089267
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118115––––
Lukas Veigl
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 57 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 2–0 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wasik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1807 vs Veigl 1691
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 80% vs Veigl 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 40% vs Veigl 70%
Veigl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -1 · Veigl +3
Veigl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Wasik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.61 / Veigl 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Wasik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089267
Wasik1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 47 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Veigl2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWasik2wins
AwayVeigl0wins
Wasik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWasikVeiglW − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.530.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 128 vs 276 / 53060.9%52.1%78 / 128 vs 276 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.61/Veigl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik—1211113L. Veigl—10850
WNov 10 · 16:30P. Wasik—101111113L. Veigl—129881
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113
L. Veigl10
LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113
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