TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015173
Played Aug 26Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1169111214711––
Martin Kocvara
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Petr Wasik at 64.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 2–1 Martin Kocvara Martin Kocvara has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1806 vs Kocvara 1730
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 20% vs Kocvara 60%
Kocvara
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 50% vs Kocvara 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -3 · Kocvara -1
Wasik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.44 / Kocvara 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Wasik)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015173
Wasik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Kocvara2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog57% won 42 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back46% 17 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWasik2wins
AwayKocvara1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderWasik leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKocvara33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik0Kocvara3n = 3Kocvara took 3 of 3
S2Wasik3Kocvara0n = 3Wasik took 3 of 3
S3Wasik3Kocvara0n = 3Wasik took 3 of 3
S4Wasik0Kocvara3n = 3Kocvara took 3 of 3
S5Wasik2Kocvara1n = 3Wasik took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWasikKocvaraW − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match47.344.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 119 vs 66 / 11461.3%57.9%73 / 119 vs 66 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.44/Kocvara 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 9 · 08:54P. Wasik—111111682M. Kocvara—139711113
WJul 9 · 05:45P. Wasik—5111110113M. Kocvara—11861242
WJul 2 · 07:15P. Wasik—511119113M. Kocvara—11751172
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113
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