TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031576
Played Aug 28Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91110121113––––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 66 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Petr Wasik at 65.3%
66 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 5–3 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:10What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Wasik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1781 vs Burylov 1776
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 0% vs Burylov 60%
Burylov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 30% vs Burylov 60%
Burylov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -5 · Burylov +1
Wasik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.44 / Burylov 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Wasik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031576
Wasik1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 46 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Burylov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 49 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back39% 18 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back27% 6 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeWasik5wins
AwayBurylov3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderWasik leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik100%5 of 5
AwayBurylov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik5Burylov3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
S2Wasik5Burylov3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
S3Wasik5Burylov3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
S4Wasik3Burylov2n = 5Wasik took 3 of 5
S5Wasik1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricWasikBurylovW − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.034.9+5.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 121 vs 180 / 36060.3%50%73 / 121 vs 180 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.44/Burylov 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 21 · 09:15P. Wasik—1171011113V. Burylov—81112682
WJul 3 · 06:15P. Wasik—111211113V. Burylov—514261
LMay 29 · 08:43P. Wasik—811113102V. Burylov—114811123
WMay 29 · 05:15P. Wasik—1111113V. Burylov—7840
LFeb 9 · 09:18P. Wasik—13770V. Burylov—1511113
LFeb 9 · 06:15P. Wasik—81111662V. Burylov—117611113
WDec 3 · 07:45P. Wasik—1111123V. Burylov—76100
WNov 24 · 06:15P. Wasik—11159113V. Burylov—6131161
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113LAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113LAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113
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