TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13011434
Played Aug 25Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611113118511311
Ladislav Dobias
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 80 set 5, 3-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 24–30 Ladislav Dobias Matus Zelinka has won 24 of their 54 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 2.10 / Dobias 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Dobias)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #13011434
Zelinka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog56% won 32 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back41% 13 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Dobias1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 219 of 370
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 154 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelinka4wins
AwayDobias6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinka66.7%2 of 3
AwayDobias71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S2Zelinka3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S3Zelinka4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Zelinka3Dobias2n = 5Zelinka took 3 of 5
S5Zelinka2Dobias1n = 3Zelinka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelinkaDobiasZ − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.137.1−3.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 363 vs 402 / 72252.6%55.7%191 / 363 vs 402 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.941.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasZelinka 2.10/Dobias 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 07:45M. Zelinka—912113113L. Dobias—111091152
LAug 24 · 06:15M. Zelinka—77100L. Dobias—1111123
LAug 7 · 08:38M. Zelinka—6690L. Dobias—1111113
WAug 7 · 06:30M. Zelinka—1111113L. Dobias—7970
LJul 29 · 05:15M. Zelinka—7490L. Dobias—1111113
WMay 10 · 12:18M. Zelinka—11911113L. Dobias—811581
LMay 10 · 11:15M. Zelinka—7870L. Dobias—1111113
LMay 6 · 12:29M. Zelinka—118781L. Dobias—81111113
LMay 6 · 11:15M. Zelinka—710131162L. Dobias—1112113113
WMay 3 · 18:15M. Zelinka—913711123L. Dobias—1111115102
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181
L. Dobias10
LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113WAug 25 · 06:15M. Stibor2.105680L. Dobias1.671111113
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