TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067419
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119116––––
Stepan Rejent
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 62.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 86–47 Stepan Rejent Stepan Rejent has won 47 of their 133 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-47 in 133
Sr
Correct
gap of 39 in 133, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1650 vs Rejent 1647
Sr
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 20% vs Rejent 40%
Rejent
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 40% vs Rejent 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr -4 · Rejent -1
Sr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.44 / Rejent 2.63
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Sr)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13067419
Sr1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it89% 63 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 127
Rejent2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 94 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back25% 32 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr6wins
AwayRejent4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr85.7%6 of 7
AwayRejent100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr7Rejent3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Sr5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S3Sr6Rejent4n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Sr4Rejent3n = 7Sr took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrRejentS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.1+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 700 vs 366 / 77055.1%47.5%386 / 700 vs 366 / 770Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.44/Rejent 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 14:15J. Sr—111487102S. Rejent—9121111123
LAug 7 · 14:15J. Sr—89100S. Rejent—1111123
LAug 5 · 19:45J. Sr—991181S. Rejent—11119113
WAug 2 · 19:15J. Sr—11117113S. Rejent—381161
WJul 29 · 14:45J. Sr—11911113S. Rejent—211261
LJul 22 · 20:44J. Sr—4101191S. Rejent—11128113
WJul 22 · 18:15J. Sr—11114113S. Rejent—551191
WJul 21 · 18:45J. Sr—1411123S. Rejent—129100
WJul 18 · 17:15J. Sr—1111113S. Rejent—4870
WJul 12 · 15:45J. Sr—211011123S. Rejent—19128101
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
Upcoming Matches
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
S. Rejent
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