TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12432434
Played Aug 14Finished
Lukas Adam
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111178111012––
Jan Rochowanski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Adam above · Jan Rochowanski below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Adam 9–10 Jan Rochowanski Lukas Adam has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rochowanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.67 / Rochowanski 2.10
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Adam)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12432434
Adam1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 66 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Rochowanski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog57% won 38 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back35% 10 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam7wins
AwayRochowanski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%6 of 6
AwayRochowanski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam6Rochowanski4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S2Adam4Rochowanski6n = 10Rochowanski took 6 of 10
S3Adam5Rochowanski5n = 10split evenly
S4Adam5Rochowanski1n = 6Adam took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamRochowanskiA − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.3+2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamRochowanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 539 vs 83 / 17251.6%48.3%278 / 539 vs 83 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.67/Rochowanski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rochowanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 07:45L. Adam—11911123J. Rochowanski—9118101
WJul 17 · 06:45L. Adam—11129113J. Rochowanski—8101171
LJul 14 · 09:09L. Adam—5660J. Rochowanski—1111113
WJul 14 · 06:00L. Adam—671211113J. Rochowanski—111110572
WJul 13 · 10:15L. Adam—11121011113J. Rochowanski—41412952
LJul 10 · 12:14L. Adam—771341J. Rochowanski—111111113
LJul 10 · 10:15L. Adam—5720J. Rochowanski—1111113
WDec 11 · 09:45L. Adam—1111113J. Rochowanski—5370
WDec 11 · 08:45L. Adam—1111113J. Rochowanski—9450
WNov 3 · 13:51L. Adam—11118113J. Rochowanski—551171
L. Adam10
LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480LSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113WSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772
J. Rochowanski10
LAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920WAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392WAug 17 · 06:15J. Rochowanski1.6711118113T. Liska2.10581181WAug 17 · 05:15J. Rochowanski1.80101111123L. Rulc1.911273101LAug 14 · 07:45J. Rochowanski1.919118101L. Adam1.8011911123LAug 14 · 06:15P. Wasik1.3361114113J. Rochowanski3.251131261LAug 14 · 05:45L. Dobias1.501111113J. Rochowanski2.503990WAug 5 · 12:49M. Makara2.2581271282J. Rochowanski1.5711101110113LAug 5 · 11:45J. Rochowanski1.6710811151M. Makara2.1012116173LAug 5 · 10:15M. Kocvara1.50117811123J. Rochowanski2.50811117102
Upcoming Matches
L. Adam
J. Rochowanski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.