Michal Makara vs Jan Rochowanski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12365821

Played Aug 5Finished

Michal Makara

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

81112107111210811

Jan Rochowanski

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingMichal Makara above · Jan Rochowanski below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 100 set 5, 8-11

100 points played in total.

H2H Michal Makara 10–6 Jan Rochowanski Jan Rochowanski has won 6 of their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Rochowanski)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rochowanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMakara 2.25 / Rochowanski 1.57

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Rochowanski)+1.0pp

Setka Cup · #12365821

Makara2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 185 of 392

Down 0–1, comes back27% 54 of 201

Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92

Rochowanski1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite54% won 19 of 35

Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it68% 15 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMakara6wins

AwayRochowanski4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMakara100%5 of 5

AwayRochowanski80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Makara5Rochowanski5n = 10split evenly

S2Makara5Rochowanski5n = 10split evenly

S3Makara5Rochowanski5n = 10split evenly

S4Makara3Rochowanski3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricMakaraRochowanskiM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.637.3+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMakaraRochowanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 966 vs 82 / 16848.7%48.8%470 / 966 vs 82 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rochowanski

Makara 2.25/Rochowanski 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.9%

Rochowanski · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Rochowanski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 5 · 11:45M. Makara—12116173J. Rochowanski—10811151

LAug 4 · 09:15M. Makara—671181J. Rochowanski—11117113

LJul 9 · 08:23M. Makara—8790J. Rochowanski—1111113

WJul 9 · 05:15M. Makara—114811133J. Rochowanski—611117112

WJun 23 · 05:15M. Makara—51412113J. Rochowanski—11121091

LDec 18 · 06:15M. Makara—5980J. Rochowanski—1111113

WDec 11 · 07:15M. Makara—1191415113J. Rochowanski—811121792

WNov 13 · 06:15M. Makara—1111103J. Rochowanski—4870

LOct 23 · 06:45M. Makara—911991J. Rochowanski—11511113

WSep 25 · 18:45M. Makara—1111113J. Rochowanski—8760

M. Makara10

WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940 LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113 LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692 LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100 WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113 LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772 LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113 LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113 LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113 WSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113

J. Rochowanski10

LAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920 WAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392 WAug 17 · 06:15J. Rochowanski1.6711118113T. Liska2.10581181 WAug 17 · 05:15J. Rochowanski1.80101111123L. Rulc1.911273101 WAug 14 · 08:48L. Adam1.676118101J. Rochowanski2.1011711123 LAug 14 · 07:45J. Rochowanski1.919118101L. Adam1.8011911123 LAug 14 · 06:15P. Wasik1.3361114113J. Rochowanski3.251131261 LAug 14 · 05:45L. Dobias1.501111113J. Rochowanski2.503990 LAug 5 · 11:45J. Rochowanski1.6710811151M. Makara2.1012116173 LAug 5 · 10:15M. Kocvara1.50117811123J. Rochowanski2.50811117102

Upcoming Matches

M. Makara

Sep 7 · 13:15M. Makara1.53O. Mezera2.38—Sep 7 · 14:45M. Makara1.83M. Myler1.83—Sep 7 · 15:45M. Makara2.10S. Rejent1.67—

J. Rochowanski

Nothing scheduled

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.