TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447657
Played Aug 17Finished
Martin Mastera
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811611––––
Ondrej Polak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Polak to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Mastera above · Ondrej Polak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Polak at 54.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Martin Mastera 7–9 Ondrej Polak Martin Mastera has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Polak
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mastera 1704 vs Polak 1645
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mastera 40% vs Polak 60%
Polak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mastera 60% vs Polak 40%
Mastera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mastera -2 · Polak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Polak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMastera 2.00 / Polak 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Polak)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12447657
Mastera2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back26% 18 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Polak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMastera5wins
AwayPolak5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMastera66.7%4 of 6
AwayPolak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mastera6Polak4n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S2Mastera2Polak8n = 10Polak took 8 of 10
S3Mastera6Polak4n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S4Mastera5Polak3n = 8Mastera took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasteraPolakM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.9+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasteraPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 305 vs 76 / 13449.8%56.7%152 / 305 vs 76 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakMastera 2.00/Polak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Polak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 14:35M. Mastera—11911113O. Polak—711841
WJul 4 · 13:45M. Mastera—11511113O. Polak—711771
LJul 4 · 10:35M. Mastera—1111951O. Polak—71311113
WJul 4 · 09:10M. Mastera—1111133O. Polak—55110
LJul 4 · 06:05M. Mastera—7760O. Polak—1111113
WJul 3 · 14:05M. Mastera—791111133O. Polak—111136112
LJun 21 · 16:05M. Mastera—891161O. Polak—11119113
LJun 20 · 07:35M. Mastera—11391162O. Polak—511113113
LJun 16 · 10:05M. Mastera—711891O. Polak—11811113
WJun 14 · 17:30M. Mastera—11411113O. Polak—911871
M. Mastera10
LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442
O. Polak10
WSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113WAug 22 · 17:15O. Polak2.0081111113T. Trnka1.73116751WAug 22 · 16:35O. Polak1.73126115133T. Trnka2.001011411112WAug 22 · 15:05T. Bartik1.67105111182O. Polak2.10121188113LAug 22 · 14:35F. Karel1.671111113O. Polak2.109640LAug 17 · 17:35O. Polak1.6110119101J. Muska2.2012311123WAug 17 · 16:35O. Polak1.8314117133J. Muska1.8312911111LAug 17 · 14:35F. Karel1.83581114113O. Polak1.83111191232WAug 12 · 13:35J. Ruzicka1.77116111292O. Polak1.87911814113
Upcoming Matches
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