TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12332147
Played Jul 31Finished
Vladimir Svoboda
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181113111012––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:23 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Svoboda above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 67 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 60.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Svoboda 0–1 Miroslav Novotny Vladimir Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:23What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1306 vs Novotny 1348
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Novotny 40%
Svoboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Novotny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Novotny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.20 / Novotny 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Novotny)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12332147
Svoboda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 15 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Novotny1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 21 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayNovotny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNovotny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvobodaNovotnyS − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.055.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 119 vs 154 / 32648.7%47.2%58 / 119 vs 154 / 326Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnySvoboda 2.20/Novotny 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 4 · 22:00V. Svoboda—513111162M. Novotny—1111913113
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
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