TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300807
Played Jul 27Finished
Vladimir Svoboda
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811116119117––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Svoboda above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 73.3%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1281 vs Cernik 1176
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 40% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 30% vs Cernik 60%
Cernik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -3 · Cernik +1
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.40 / Cernik 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300807
Svoboda1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Cernik2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 43 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 114 vs 398 / 84447.4%47.2%54 / 114 vs 398 / 844Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.40/Cernik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850WSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891
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