TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300746
Played Jul 26Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116611113––
Vladimir Svoboda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Vladimir Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 67 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 60.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 1–0 Vladimir Svoboda Vladimir Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1096 vs Svoboda 1298
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 20% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 20% vs Svoboda 40%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -3 · Svoboda -2
Hejduk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 2.00 / Svoboda 1.73
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Svoboda)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300746
Hejduk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 64 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 51
Svoboda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHejduk1wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHejduk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHejdukSvobodaH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.044.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 424 vs 54 / 11346.7%47.8%198 / 424 vs 54 / 113Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaHejduk 2.00/Svoboda 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 10 · 24:00A. Hejduk—791111113V. Svoboda—11115982
A. Hejduk10
WSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.57741171M. Smesny2.2511117113LSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
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