TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331879
Played Aug 1Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196111012411––
Vladimir Svoboda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vladimir Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 74 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 7–7 Vladimir Svoboda Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1254 vs Svoboda 1309
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 20% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 30% vs Svoboda 50%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -4 · Svoboda +1
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Svoboda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331879
Strnad1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Svoboda1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwaySvoboda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad75%3 of 4
AwaySvoboda66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad4Svoboda6n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S2Strnad6Svoboda4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Strnad3Svoboda7n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S4Strnad5Svoboda3n = 8Strnad took 5 of 8
S5Strnad2Svoboda1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSvobodaStrnad − SvobodaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.7−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 1022 vs 59 / 12148.3%48.8%494 / 1022 vs 59 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaStrnad 1.83/Svoboda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 5 · 24:30J. Strnad—11311113V. Svoboda—811971
LJun 24 · 03:00J. Strnad—911431V. Svoboda—11911113
LJun 23 · 23:00J. Strnad—9119101V. Svoboda—11411123
WMay 13 · 01:30J. Strnad—311812143V. Svoboda—1171110122
LMay 6 · 03:04J. Strnad—88111152V. Svoboda—111196113
WMay 5 · 22:30J. Strnad—1112113V. Svoboda—61090
WApr 28 · 02:00J. Strnad—121114113V. Svoboda—1081681
WApr 13 · 23:30J. Strnad—9111011113V. Svoboda—11312852
LApr 12 · 02:30J. Strnad—61060V. Svoboda—1112113
LApr 4 · 03:30J. Strnad—128481V. Svoboda—101111113
J. Strnad10
WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
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