Vladimir Svoboda vs Jan Potensky 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12300708

Played Jul 27Finished

Vladimir Svoboda

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

6111121210117––

Jan Potensky

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%

Graded at full time

Vladimir Svoboda to win

57.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVladimir Svoboda above · Jan Potensky below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-2

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 57.8%

70 points played in total.

H2H Vladimir Svoboda 2–2 Jan Potensky Dead even across their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 2–2Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:06

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Svoboda

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-2 in 4

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Svoboda 1298 vs Potensky 1207

Svoboda

Correct

both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Svoboda 40% vs Potensky 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Svoboda 50% vs Potensky 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Svoboda +2 · Potensky +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Potensky) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvoboda 1.67 / Potensky 2.10

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Potensky)+13.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12300708

Svoboda1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite48% won 27 of 56

Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24

Potensky2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 46 of 122

Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeSvoboda2wins

AwayPotensky2wins

4 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed

AwayPotensky50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Svoboda0Potensky4n = 4Potensky took 4 of 4

S2Svoboda2Potensky2n = 4split evenly

S3Svoboda3Potensky1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4

S4Svoboda3Potensky1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4

S5Svoboda2Potensky2n = 4split evenly

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home250%

2–3Decider, away250%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricSvobodaPotenskyS − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match47.246.5+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvobodaPotenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 116 vs 231 / 48748.3%47.4%56 / 116 vs 231 / 487Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Potensky

Svoboda 1.67/Potensky 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.8%

Potensky · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Svoboda won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WJul 19 · 23:00V. Svoboda—481511113J. Potensky—111113562

WJun 13 · 01:30V. Svoboda—6111112113J. Potensky—11951492

LJun 9 · 23:00V. Svoboda—47111192J. Potensky—111197113

LApr 22 · 23:00V. Svoboda—91181182J. Potensky—118112113

V. Svoboda10

LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162 WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113 WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122 LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123 LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171 WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171 WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123 WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971 LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131 LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182

J. Potensky10

LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113 LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113 WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113 WAug 31 · 24:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142 LAug 30 · 23:00J. Grohsgott1.83111110113J. Potensky1.83951261 WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331 WAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.678780J. Potensky2.101111113 WAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach1.91811781J. Potensky1.8011511113 WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671 LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.