TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331993
Played Jul 31Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117911117––
Vladimir Svoboda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Vladimir Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 59.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 1–0 Vladimir Svoboda Vladimir Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 16:04What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1345 vs Svoboda 1316
Kulhanek
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 60% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 70% vs Svoboda 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek +1 · Svoboda +4
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.91 / Svoboda 1.80
Signal prob.60% / 41%
Edge (Kulhanek)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331993
Kulhanek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 43
Svoboda1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 31 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKulhanek1wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
Kulhanek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKulhanekSvobodaK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 414 vs 58 / 11855.1%49.2%228 / 414 vs 58 / 118Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.91/Svoboda 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 12 · 24:00P. Kulhanek—1111113V. Svoboda—7480
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
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