TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12307799
Played Jul 27Finished
Vladimir Svoboda
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151210811117––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
3.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:06 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Svoboda above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 68.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Svoboda 6–1 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1307 vs Grohsgott 1237
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Grohsgott 40%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Grohsgott 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +3 · Grohsgott -1
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.25 / Grohsgott 3.35
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12307799
Svoboda1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Grohsgott3.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 162 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back23% 47 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSvoboda6wins
AwayGrohsgott1wins
5 of 7 to a deciderSvoboda leads 6–1, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGrohsgott20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda2Grohsgott5n = 7Grohsgott took 5 of 7
S2Svoboda4Grohsgott3n = 7Svoboda took 4 of 7
S3Svoboda3Grohsgott4n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S4Svoboda4Grohsgott1n = 5Svoboda took 4 of 5
S5Svoboda5Grohsgott0n = 5Svoboda took 5 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home571%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSvobodaGrohsgottS − GBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match42.940.9+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 117 vs 748 / 152548.7%49.1%57 / 117 vs 748 / 1525Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.25/Grohsgott 3.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.8%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 27 · 01:30V. Svoboda—911611123J. Grohsgott—119119102
WJul 20 · 24:00V. Svoboda—8101111113J. Grohsgott—11125592
WJun 13 · 03:30V. Svoboda—119611113J. Grohsgott—61111972
WJun 13 · 02:30V. Svoboda—911112113J. Grohsgott—11591182
WApr 13 · 22:00V. Svoboda—1111113J. Grohsgott—8790
WMar 17 · 01:30V. Svoboda—1211511123J. Grohsgott—144118102
LMar 1 · 24:00V. Svoboda—81150J. Grohsgott—1113113
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123
Upcoming Matches
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J. Grohsgott
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