TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300677
Played Jul 27Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199111169111012
Vladimir Svoboda
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Svoboda to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vladimir Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Vladimir Svoboda at 66.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 1–5 Vladimir Svoboda Jiri Grohsgott has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1246 vs Svoboda 1289
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Svoboda 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 50% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +2 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.50 / Svoboda 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300677
Grohsgott2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 162 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back23% 47 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 119
Svoboda1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGrohsgott1wins
AwaySvoboda5wins
4 of 6 to a deciderSvoboda leads 5–1, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott25%1 of 4
AwaySvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Svoboda2n = 6Grohsgott took 4 of 6
S2Grohsgott3Svoboda3n = 6split evenly
S3Grohsgott3Svoboda3n = 6split evenly
S4Grohsgott1Svoboda3n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
S5Grohsgott0Svoboda4n = 4Svoboda took 4 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away467%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSvobodaG − SBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.341.8−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime748 / 1524 vs 55 / 11549.1%47.8%748 / 1524 vs 55 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaGrohsgott 2.50/Svoboda 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 20 · 24:00J. Grohsgott—11125592V. Svoboda—8101111113
LJun 13 · 03:30J. Grohsgott—61111972V. Svoboda—119611113
LJun 13 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11591182V. Svoboda—911112113
LApr 13 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—8790V. Svoboda—1111113
LMar 17 · 01:30J. Grohsgott—144118102V. Svoboda—1211511123
WMar 1 · 24:00J. Grohsgott—1113113V. Svoboda—81150
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750
V. Svoboda10
LAug 1 · 02:58M. Stefek1.61111177113V. Svoboda2.2046111162WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
Upcoming Matches
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