TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12344191
Played Aug 1Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114116711711116
Vladimir Svoboda
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vladimir Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 2–2 Vladimir Svoboda Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.61 / Svoboda 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Stefek)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12344191
Stefek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 132 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 66 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Svoboda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 15 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStefek2wins
AwaySvoboda2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySvobodan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek3Svoboda1n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S2Stefek2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S3Stefek2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S4Stefek2Svoboda1n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
S5Stefek1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStefekSvobodaStefek − SvobodaBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.244.20.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime530 / 1108 vs 60 / 12247.8%49.2%530 / 1108 vs 60 / 122Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.61/Svoboda 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 1 · 24:30M. Stefek—119161122V. Svoboda—611186113
WJun 24 · 24:30M. Stefek—1111113V. Svoboda—8890
LApr 19 · 22:00M. Stefek—671111102V. Svoboda—111178123
WFeb 6 · 01:00M. Stefek—1213410113V. Svoboda—1011111272
M. Stefek10
LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113WSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102WSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162WSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100
V. Svoboda10
WAug 1 · 02:00J. Strnad1.831161041V. Svoboda1.8391112113WAug 1 · 24:30V. Svoboda2.50611186113M. Stefek1.50119161122LJul 31 · 23:00V. Svoboda2.201113101M. Novotny1.6181111123LJul 31 · 22:00P. Kulhanek1.9111119113V. Svoboda1.80971171WJul 27 · 03:30V. Svoboda1.2511128113J. Grohsgott3.355101171WJul 27 · 02:30V. Svoboda1.6761112113J. Potensky2.101121071WJul 27 · 01:30J. Grohsgott2.50119119102V. Svoboda1.50911611123WJul 27 · 24:00V. Svoboda1.4081111113J. Cernik2.75116971LJul 26 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.2011116113V. Svoboda1.61861131LJul 20 · 03:30L. Havel2.35911118113V. Svoboda1.5311351182
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