TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272383
Played Jul 21Finished
Jakub Lysek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191191113911811
Radek Zajac
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–4Last 5Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Lysek above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Lysek at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Zajac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1390 vs Zajac 1190
Lysek
Wrong
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 80% vs Zajac 20%
Lysek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 60% vs Zajac 20%
Lysek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek +1 · Zajac -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.80 / Zajac 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12272383
Lysek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zajac1.80
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 2 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 311 vs 1 / 545%20%140 / 311 vs 1 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekLysek 1.80/Zajac 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zajac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Lysek10
LJul 22 · 08:43J. Lysek1.834360J. Sevecek1.831111113LJul 22 · 08:15J. Lysek1.5311117101L. Snr2.3813811123WJul 22 · 06:45J. Sevecek1.53119881J. Lysek2.3881111113LJul 22 · 06:15P. Sturma2.001110811113J. Lysek1.7331211992LJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 11:45J. Lysek1.736680P. Sturma2.001111113WJul 21 · 09:45J. Lysek2.101112113T. Stempak1.6751090LJul 18 · 09:30J. Lysek1.77911981L. Stempak1.8711511113WJul 18 · 07:45L. Stempak1.441612711122J. Lysek2.631414117143WJul 18 · 07:15L. Snr1.80151191182J. Lysek1.91177116113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842
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