TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Pina vs Jan Seeman 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161193111210––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJan Pina to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pina above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 73 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Pina at 66.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pina 4–0 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Pina
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pina 1402 vs Seeman 1364
Pina
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pina 40% vs Seeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pina 50% vs Seeman 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pina +2 · Seeman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pina form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPina 1.40 / Seeman 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pina)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13191283
Pina1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 15 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Seeman2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 36 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePina4wins
AwaySeeman0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPina leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePina100%3 of 3
AwaySeemann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pina3Seeman1n = 4Pina took 3 of 4
S2Pina4Seeman0n = 4Pina took 4 of 4
S3Pina2Seeman2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPinaSeemanP − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.035.5+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPinaSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 124 vs 129 / 27548.4%46.9%60 / 124 vs 129 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaPina 1.40/Seeman 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WDec 14 · 20:45J. Pina341111123J. Seeman2183100
WOct 25 · 15:15J. Pina341111123J. Seeman2587100
WSep 4 · 19:30J. Pina531313511113J. Seeman48151111562
WApr 19 · 18:00J. Pina47111139133J. Seeman48961111112
J. Pina10
WSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791WSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162WSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113
J. Seeman10
LSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860LSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113LSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113
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