TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142807
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711911119311
Lukas Krutina
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 55.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 4–1 Lukas Krutina Lukas Krutina has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Seeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Seeman
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1381 vs Krutina 1390
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 80% vs Krutina 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 80% vs Krutina 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman +3 · Krutina +2
Seeman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.57 / Krutina 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Seeman)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13142807
Seeman1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 37 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Krutina2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 27 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSeeman4wins
AwayKrutina1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSeeman leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrutinan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman3Krutina2n = 5Seeman took 3 of 5
S2Seeman4Krutina1n = 5Seeman took 4 of 5
S3Seeman2Krutina3n = 5Krutina took 3 of 5
S4Seeman3Krutina2n = 5Seeman took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSeemanKrutinaS − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.838.2+3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 270 vs 113 / 21847.8%51.8%129 / 270 vs 113 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanSeeman 1.57/Krutina 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman44101111123L. Krutina381288101
WSep 13 · 16:00J. Seeman4111118113L. Krutina32491181
WJun 15 · 15:30J. Seeman48111259113L. Krutina48810111182
LJun 14 · 21:05J. Seeman341110851L. Krutina4281211113
WJun 14 · 20:00J. Seeman4291111113L. Krutina31117941
J. Seeman10
LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113WSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153
L. Krutina10
WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113WSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113LSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113WSep 16 · 06:00P. Cizek2.108670L. Krutina1.671111113LSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101LSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153
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