TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143093
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611711611––
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 59.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 6–9 Lukas Krutina Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krutina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Krutina
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1306 vs Krutina 1381
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Krutina 60%
Krutina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 20% vs Krutina 70%
Krutina
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -1 · Krutina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.10 / Krutina 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Krutina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13143093
Jnr2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 77 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back29% 21 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Krutina1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr6wins
AwayKrutina4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr62.5%5 of 8
AwayKrutinan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr8Krutina2n = 10Jnr took 8 of 10
S2Jnr6Krutina4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S3Jnr4Krutina6n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Jnr4Krutina5n = 9Krutina took 5 of 9
S5Jnr3Krutina3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrKrutinaJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.241.4+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 485 vs 112 / 21751.1%51.6%248 / 485 vs 112 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaJnr 2.10/Krutina 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 27 · 15:00J. Jnr49811111182L. Krutina47116136113
LJun 24 · 11:45J. Jnr49111311952L. Krutina50815511113
LJun 22 · 13:14J. Jnr4111931172L. Krutina48911116113
WJun 22 · 10:00J. Jnr5410111111113L. Krutina4712961372
WJun 15 · 09:15J. Jnr45116116113L. Krutina4071171142
LJun 11 · 12:48J. Jnr28115571L. Krutina3631111113
WJun 11 · 10:45J. Jnr481111104123L. Krutina46671211102
WMay 9 · 17:15J. Jnr351111133L. Krutina2999110
WMay 8 · 10:45J. Jnr3811115113L. Krutina33961171
WMay 2 · 15:15J. Jnr4511118153L. Krutina385911131
J. Jnr10
WSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Jnr2.001111113P. Moulis1.734490LSep 15 · 13:08J. Jnr1.739990J. Blazek2.001111113WSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173LSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113LSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091LSep 14 · 10:00F. Fryml1.9111128113J. Jnr1.805101171
L. Krutina10
WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113LSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113WSep 16 · 06:00P. Cizek2.108670L. Krutina1.671111113LSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101LSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153
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