TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136728
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Obraz
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210117811911611
Lukas Krutina
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Obraz above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 57.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Obraz 1–1 Lukas Krutina Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Obraz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Obraz 1318 vs Krutina 1388
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obraz 40% vs Krutina 60%
Krutina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obraz 30% vs Krutina 70%
Krutina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obraz -1 · Krutina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Obraz) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObraz 1.67 / Krutina 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Obraz)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136728
Obraz1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Krutina2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 26 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeObraz1wins
AwayKrutina1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricObrazKrutinaO − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.550.5−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObrazKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 346 vs 111 / 21543.4%51.6%150 / 346 vs 111 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObrazObraz 1.67/Krutina 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Obraz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz4612118962L. Krutina501071111113
WJun 2 · 06:30M. Obraz47511611143L. Krutina51118119122
M. Obraz10
LSep 16 · 05:30M. Obraz1.576890M. Cmil2.251111113WSep 15 · 12:38M. Obraz1.531111113P. Moulis2.388470LSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173WSep 15 · 10:30P. Moulis2.25118111252M. Obraz1.57311714113LSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek1.7311119113M. Obraz2.00591191LJun 17 · 09:08J. Puk1.91411127113M. Obraz1.80114101142LJun 17 · 08:00M. Obraz1.739101191J. Puk2.0011129113LJun 17 · 06:30O. Plyska1.501311113M. Obraz2.5011760WJun 17 · 06:00J. Hanacek1.6199111262M. Obraz2.201111910113LJun 16 · 08:58M. Obraz2.5011711882O. Plyska1.50611311113
L. Krutina10
WSep 16 · 06:00P. Cizek2.108670L. Krutina1.671111113LSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101LSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153WSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113WSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481WSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Obraz
Nothing scheduled
L. Krutina
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