TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13135213
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Jan Blazek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 3–3 Jan Blazek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Blazek beat Jnr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blazek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.73 / Blazek 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blazek)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13135213
Jnr1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 63 of 85
Blazek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJnr3wins
AwayBlazek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr40%2 of 5
AwayBlazekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Blazek1n = 6Jnr took 5 of 6
S2Jnr3Blazek3n = 6split evenly
S3Jnr4Blazek2n = 6Jnr took 4 of 6
S4Jnr2Blazek3n = 5Blazek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJnrBlazekJ − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.739.0+2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 484 vs 167 / 38451.2%43.5%248 / 484 vs 167 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlazekJnr 1.73/Blazek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Blazek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blazek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 15 · 11:00J. Jnr46117111072J. Blazek51811912113
WSep 9 · 10:00J. Jnr43101111113J. Blazek35125991
LSep 3 · 10:30J. Jnr4512116972J. Blazek501071111113
WAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr341111123J. Blazek2376100
LAug 27 · 13:30J. Jnr391111891J. Blazek4051311113
WAug 11 · 12:00J. Jnr43111011113J. Blazek35712971
J. Jnr10
WSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173LSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113LSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091LSep 14 · 10:00F. Fryml1.9111128113J. Jnr1.805101171LSep 13 · 20:35P. Moulis1.441112123J. Jnr2.63910100LSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 19:00J. Jnr2.501611113P. Moulis1.5014660
J. Blazek10
LSep 15 · 11:30P. Moulis1.911481116113J. Blazek1.80161181492WSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek1.7311119113M. Obraz2.00591191LSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880LSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek2.38411781E. Ondracek1.5311911113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470LSep 9 · 12:29J. Blazek2.10211471M. Melisek1.6711811113LSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250WSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051
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