TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126431
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411119711811––
Evzen Ondracek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeEvzen Ondracek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Evzen Ondracek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Evzen Ondracek at 62.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 7–11 Evzen Ondracek Jan Blazek has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Ondracek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Ondracek
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1385 vs Ondracek 1424
Ondracek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 60% vs Ondracek 40%
Blazek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 60% vs Ondracek 40%
Blazek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek +2 · Ondracek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ondracek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ondracek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.38 / Ondracek 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Ondracek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126431
Blazek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 49 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Ondracek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek4wins
AwayOndracek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOndracek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek66.7%2 of 3
AwayOndracek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek3Ondracek7n = 10Ondracek took 7 of 10
S2Blazek6Ondracek4n = 10Blazek took 6 of 10
S3Blazek7Ondracek3n = 10Blazek took 7 of 10
S4Blazek1Ondracek6n = 7Ondracek took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekOndracekB − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.735.9−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekOndracekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 380 vs 108 / 21343.4%50.7%165 / 380 vs 108 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekBlazek 2.38/Ondracek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ondracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek30411781E. Ondracek4211911113
WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek48911116113E. Ondracek4211391182
LMay 6 · 16:18J. Blazek335121151E. Ondracek3711141113
LMay 6 · 14:15J. Blazek2878130E. Ondracek371111153
WFeb 6 · 17:26J. Blazek4181111113E. Ondracek34118961
LFeb 6 · 15:15J. Blazek24351151E. Ondracek3811115113
WOct 20 · 16:35J. Blazek331111113E. Ondracek183960
WOct 20 · 15:30J. Blazek331111113E. Ondracek199460
LSep 15 · 13:30J. Blazek51811111472E. Ondracek51114916113
LMay 19 · 21:00J. Blazek361187101E. Ondracek4171111123
J. Blazek10
WSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470LSep 9 · 12:29J. Blazek2.10211471M. Melisek1.6711811113LSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250WSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051LSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113WSep 8 · 17:08J. Blazek3.2511911113P. Kotrbacek1.33811491WSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352WSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek1.401112113J. Blazek2.7521090
E. Ondracek10
WSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113LAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180LAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182WAug 27 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.001011129113J. Jnr1.73126101172WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581WAug 21 · 16:44E. Ondracek1.83311611113M. Melisek1.8311811992LAug 21 · 16:00E. Ondracek1.7381161182J. Jnr2.00119115113LAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 14:00M. Melisek2.381111113E. Ondracek1.539940
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