Evzen Ondracek vs Marian Melisek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12471211

Played Aug 21Finished

Evzen Ondracek

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

311118611119119

Marian Melisek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingEvzen Ondracek above · Marian Melisek below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 90 set 5, 11-9

90 points played in total.

H2H Evzen Ondracek 9–7 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Melisek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Melisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOndracek 1.83 / Melisek 1.83

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Melisek)+6.0pp

Setka Cup · #12471211

Ondracek1.83

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

Melisek1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOndracek5wins

AwayMelisek5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOndracek75%3 of 4

AwayMelisek66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ondracek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10

S2Ondracek6Melisek4n = 10Ondracek took 6 of 10

S3Ondracek6Melisek4n = 10Ondracek took 6 of 10

S4Ondracek3Melisek4n = 7Melisek took 4 of 7

S5Ondracek2Melisek2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOndracekMelisekO − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.737.6+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOndracekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 205 vs 222 / 46150.2%48.2%103 / 205 vs 222 / 461Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Melisek

Ondracek 1.83/Melisek 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56%

Melisek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Ondracek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 21 · 14:00E. Ondracek—9940M. Melisek—1111113

WJun 5 · 15:30E. Ondracek—811139113M. Melisek—115111192

WOct 22 · 17:05E. Ondracek—1111113M. Melisek—7970

WOct 22 · 15:00E. Ondracek—11113123M. Melisek—6711101

LOct 1 · 16:56E. Ondracek—115101142M. Melisek—711124113

LOct 1 · 16:00E. Ondracek—951171M. Melisek—11119113

WSep 15 · 16:00E. Ondracek—381111113M. Melisek—11119842

WJul 12 · 09:05E. Ondracek—1111113M. Melisek—5970

LJul 12 · 08:00E. Ondracek—1012961M. Melisek—121011113

LMay 12 · 16:33E. Ondracek—911115102M. Melisek—115511123

E. Ondracek10

LAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180 LAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182 WAug 27 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.001011129113J. Jnr1.73126101172 WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581 LAug 21 · 16:00E. Ondracek1.7381161182J. Jnr2.00119115113 LAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441 LAug 21 · 14:00M. Melisek2.381111113E. Ondracek1.539940 LJul 30 · 20:15J. Hanacek1.83512411113E. Ondracek1.83111011592 LJul 30 · 19:15E. Ondracek1.801251191J. Hanacek1.9114113113 LJul 30 · 18:15E. Ondracek1.731051181M. Vorel2.0012119113

M. Melisek10

WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871 LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113 LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832 WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113 LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622 WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122 LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113 LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113 WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113 WAug 21 · 14:00M. Melisek2.381111113E. Ondracek1.539940

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.