TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12323095
Played Jul 30Finished
Evzen Ondracek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214511113911––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvzen Ondracek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEvzen Ondracek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Evzen Ondracek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ondracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ondracek 1441 vs Hanacek 1477
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ondracek 20% vs Hanacek 0%
Ondracek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ondracek 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ondracek -1 · Hanacek -5
Hanacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOndracek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ondracek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12323095
Ondracek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Hanacek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOndracekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 220 vs 175 / 34350.5%51%111 / 220 vs 175 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekOndracek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Ondracek10
LAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180LAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182WAug 27 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.001011129113J. Jnr1.73126101172WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581WAug 21 · 16:44E. Ondracek1.83311611113M. Melisek1.8311811992LAug 21 · 16:00E. Ondracek1.7381161182J. Jnr2.00119115113LAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 14:00M. Melisek2.381111113E. Ondracek1.539940LJul 30 · 20:15J. Hanacek1.83512411113E. Ondracek1.83111011592LJul 30 · 18:15E. Ondracek1.731051181M. Vorel2.0012119113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161WJul 30 · 20:15J. Hanacek1.83512411113E. Ondracek1.83111011592
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