TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126556
Played Sep 14Finished
Evzen Ondracek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Ladislav Tuma
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeEvzen Ondracek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvzen Ondracek above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Evzen Ondracek at 54.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Ondracek 23–12 Ladislav Tuma Ladislav Tuma has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ondracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-12 in 35
Ondracek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ondracek 1410 vs Tuma 1490
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ondracek 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ondracek 30% vs Tuma 70%
Tuma
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ondracek -2 · Tuma +3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOndracek 1.73 / Tuma 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Ondracek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126556
Ondracek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Tuma2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 37 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOndracek5wins
AwayTuma5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOndracek66.7%4 of 6
AwayTuma75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ondracek6Tuma4n = 10Ondracek took 6 of 10
S2Ondracek6Tuma4n = 10Ondracek took 6 of 10
S3Ondracek3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Ondracek4Tuma4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOndracekTumaO − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.336.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOndracekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 210 vs 238 / 47750.5%49.9%106 / 210 vs 238 / 477Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekOndracek 1.73/Tuma 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 16:59E. Ondracek189180L. Tuma331111113
WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek4111811113L. Tuma33911581
LApr 16 · 14:00E. Ondracek3911112782L. Tuma49791111113
WApr 1 · 16:49E. Ondracek4281111123L. Tuma361178101
LApr 1 · 15:45E. Ondracek381198101L. Tuma4061111123
LMar 19 · 14:30E. Ondracek32811761L. Tuma3311011113
WJan 20 · 17:30E. Ondracek45111112113L. Tuma33961441
WJan 20 · 15:30E. Ondracek331111113L. Tuma218490
LJan 19 · 17:36E. Ondracek28911351L. Tuma4011711113
WJan 19 · 16:00E. Ondracek47113911133L. Tuma49811118112
E. Ondracek10
LAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180LAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182WAug 27 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.001011129113J. Jnr1.73126101172WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581WAug 21 · 16:44E. Ondracek1.83311611113M. Melisek1.8311811992LAug 21 · 16:00E. Ondracek1.7381161182J. Jnr2.00119115113LAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 14:00M. Melisek2.381111113E. Ondracek1.539940LJul 30 · 20:15J. Hanacek1.83512411113E. Ondracek1.83111011592LJul 30 · 19:15E. Ondracek1.801251191J. Hanacek1.9114113113
L. Tuma10
LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180LAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581
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