TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142786
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311111310121513611
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 115 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.3%
115 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 11–14 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jan Seeman has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Jnr
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1371 vs Jnr 1309
Seeman
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 60% vs Jnr 40%
Seeman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 70% vs Jnr 30%
Seeman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman -1 · Jnr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Seeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.73 / Jnr 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Seeman)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142786
Seeman1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 37 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Jnr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 77 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back29% 21 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeeman6wins
AwayJnr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSeeman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman50%3 of 6
AwayJnr25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman6Jnr4n = 10Seeman took 6 of 10
S2Seeman7Jnr3n = 10Seeman took 7 of 10
S3Seeman3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Seeman3Jnr5n = 8Jnr took 5 of 8
S5Seeman3Jnr0n = 3Seeman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeemanJnrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.6+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 271 vs 249 / 48747.6%51.1%129 / 271 vs 249 / 487Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanSeeman 1.73/Jnr 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 21:03J. Seeman539121011113J. Jnr47111012772
WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman49611912113J. Jnr491171110102
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman4211119113J. Jnr32681171
WSep 3 · 12:00J. Seeman341112113J. Jnr2891090
WAug 23 · 21:03J. Seeman331111113J. Jnr207850
LAug 23 · 20:00J. Seeman3411310101J. Jnr4161112123
LAug 16 · 17:00J. Seeman409121181J. Jnr45111013113
LAug 16 · 16:00J. Seeman32118581J. Jnr3851111113
LJul 24 · 18:30J. Seeman32126861J. Jnr43101111113
WJul 18 · 20:59J. Seeman529111110113J. Jnr4311861262
J. Seeman10
WSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102
J. Jnr10
WSep 17 · 11:00J. Jnr2.001111113P. Moulis1.734490LSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113LSep 15 · 13:08J. Jnr1.739990J. Blazek2.001111113WSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173LSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113LSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113LSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102
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