TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Pina vs Josef Hanacek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012114117109––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Pina to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pina above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-9
Point 74 set 4, 10-9 — our read held Jan Pina at 58.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pina 5–1 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Pina
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pina 1412 vs Hanacek 1418
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pina 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pina 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pina +3 · Hanacek +1
Pina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPina 1.61 / Hanacek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pina)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191543
Pina1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hanacek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 59 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePina5wins
AwayHanacek1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderPina leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHanacek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pina2Hanacek4n = 6Hanacek took 4 of 6
S2Pina5Hanacek1n = 6Pina took 5 of 6
S3Pina6Hanacek0n = 6Pina took 6 of 6
S4Pina2Hanacek2n = 4split evenly
S5Pina2Hanacek1n = 3Pina took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPinaHanacekP − HBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match42.537.0+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPinaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 121 vs 237 / 46449.6%51.1%60 / 121 vs 237 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaPina 1.61/Hanacek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMay 16 · 06:30J. Pina501071111113J. Hanacek4512119762
WJan 23 · 21:34J. Pina351311113J. Hanacek2611870
WJan 23 · 18:30J. Pina4381113113J. Hanacek381171191
LOct 26 · 11:30J. Pina41101111362J. Hanacek50127911113
WOct 25 · 14:45J. Pina331111113J. Hanacek195590
WSep 7 · 07:45J. Pina5310111110113J. Hanacek4412881242
J. Pina10
LSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113WSep 25 · 17:30J. Pina1.4011113123J. Seeman2.756911101WSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162WSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113LSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881
Upcoming Matches
J. Pina
Nothing scheduled
J. Hanacek
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