TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13156102
Played Sep 19Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117121459––
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 5-9
Point 76 set 4, 5-9 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 6–5 Lukas Krutina Lukas Krutina has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krutina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1399 vs Krutina 1453
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 40% vs Krutina 100%
Krutina
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 60% vs Krutina 80%
Krutina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +1 · Krutina +6
Krutina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Krutina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.20 / Krutina 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Krutina)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13156102
Hanacek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 58 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Krutina1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 34 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek5wins
AwayKrutina5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek66.7%4 of 6
AwayKrutina75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek6Krutina4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S2Hanacek5Krutina5n = 10split evenly
S3Hanacek4Krutina6n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek4Krutina5n = 9Krutina took 5 of 9
S5Hanacek3Krutina2n = 5Hanacek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekKrutinaH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.6−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 456 vs 114 / 21850.9%52.3%232 / 456 vs 114 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaHanacek 2.20/Krutina 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 17 · 16:15J. Hanacek48119611113L. Krutina4171111662
LOct 17 · 14:15J. Hanacek43121111542L. Krutina531081311113
WSep 13 · 20:42J. Hanacek4212118113L. Krutina291041141
LSep 13 · 18:30J. Hanacek32116691L. Krutina4181111113
WJun 20 · 20:38J. Hanacek48811117113L. Krutina3911671142
LJun 20 · 18:30J. Hanacek4788111192L. Krutina45111157113
WMay 18 · 05:15J. Hanacek331111113L. Krutina216960
WMay 3 · 14:30J. Hanacek48147211143L. Krutina531211117122
LApr 26 · 18:00J. Hanacek33912931L. Krutina43111011113
LApr 25 · 13:30J. Hanacek28841151L. Krutina4111118113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121LSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281
L. Krutina10
WSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:58L. Krutina1.57111199113J. Jnr2.2585111152WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113WSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113LSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113WSep 16 · 06:00P. Cizek2.108670L. Krutina1.671111113LSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101
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