TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143136
Played Sep 17Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111181181412––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 81 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 13–15 Josef Hanacek Karel Jirousek has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Hanacek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1500 vs Hanacek 1392
Jirousek
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 80% vs Hanacek 60%
Jirousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +4 · Hanacek -1
Jirousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.83 / Hanacek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jirousek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13143136
Jirousek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hanacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHanacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S2Jirousek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S4Jirousek6Hanacek3n = 9Jirousek took 6 of 9
S5Jirousek1Hanacek4n = 5Hanacek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekHanacekJ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.8+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 445 vs 231 / 45651.7%50.7%230 / 445 vs 231 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.83/Hanacek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek4261111143J. Hanacek391188121
WAug 9 · 09:03K. Jirousek4513811133J. Hanacek3711114111
WAug 9 · 06:00K. Jirousek4111117123J. Hanacek316411101
LAug 4 · 17:14K. Jirousek426171181J. Hanacek5011199113
WAug 4 · 13:30K. Jirousek331111113J. Hanacek228950
LAug 1 · 19:45K. Jirousek4311681172J. Hanacek50811119113
LJun 12 · 05:45K. Jirousek4061341162J. Hanacek521111118113
WJun 9 · 08:39K. Jirousek501261110113J. Hanacek43101171232
LJun 9 · 07:00K. Jirousek4011113962J. Hanacek49791111113
LMay 28 · 17:30K. Jirousek54891113132J. Hanacek551111711153
K. Jirousek10
WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113WSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491LSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162LSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113
J. Hanacek10
LSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281WSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282
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