TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126539
Played Sep 13Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187111181012118
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8
97 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 12–10 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mejzlik beat Hanacek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.25 / Mejzlik 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Mejzlik)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126539
Hanacek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Mejzlik1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek5wins
AwayMejzlik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMejzlik55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Mejzlik9n = 10Mejzlik took 9 of 10
S2Hanacek6Mejzlik4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Hanacek5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Hanacek3Mejzlik5n = 8Mejzlik took 5 of 8
S5Hanacek3Mejzlik0n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekMejzlikH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.6−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 449 vs 145 / 29451.2%49.3%230 / 449 vs 145 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikHanacek 2.25/Mejzlik 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 18:30J. Hanacek2071030J. Mejzlik341112113
LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek29145100J. Mejzlik391611123
WAug 11 · 19:00J. Hanacek39311311113J. Mejzlik3911411582
LAug 10 · 16:58J. Hanacek33791161J. Mejzlik4011117113
WAug 10 · 13:30J. Hanacek49711119113J. Mejzlik4211851172
LJul 27 · 07:00J. Hanacek29212781J. Mejzlik43111011113
WJul 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek47611118113J. Mejzlik4311691162
LJul 26 · 06:00J. Hanacek27611551J. Mejzlik3511211113
WJul 25 · 20:53J. Hanacek4181111113J. Mejzlik32116691
WJul 25 · 17:45J. Hanacek48111511113J. Mejzlik39817861
J. Hanacek10
WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113WSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172
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