TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126732
Played Sep 14Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7114111210117114
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 55.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 6–2 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Tuma
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1485 vs Hanacek 1383
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 80% vs Hanacek 40%
Tuma
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Hanacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.73 / Hanacek 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126732
Tuma1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Hanacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 54 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayHanacek2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderTuma leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma83.3%5 of 6
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Hanacek2n = 8Tuma took 6 of 8
S2Tuma5Hanacek3n = 8Tuma took 5 of 8
S3Tuma2Hanacek6n = 8Hanacek took 6 of 8
S4Tuma5Hanacek2n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5Tuma2Hanacek1n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricTumaHanacekT − HBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.137.2+3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 471 vs 227 / 44850.3%50.7%237 / 471 vs 227 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.73/Hanacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 10 · 15:00L. Tuma49118811113J. Hanacek4071111652
LJul 1 · 07:00L. Tuma203980J. Hanacek331111113
WJun 14 · 18:15L. Tuma43111011113J. Hanacek34912671
LJun 6 · 08:34L. Tuma51111710852J. Hanacek578151211113
WJun 6 · 05:30L. Tuma4291111113J. Hanacek29116571
WFeb 22 · 22:00L. Tuma4015113113J. Hanacek331381111
WFeb 22 · 20:00L. Tuma48141175113J. Hanacek43123111162
WFeb 15 · 16:15L. Tuma3611113113J. Hanacek29561171
L. Tuma10
LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113
J. Hanacek10
LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113WSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172
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