TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130255
Played Sep 14Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113511117115116
Evzen Ondracek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Evzen Ondracek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6
91 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 2–1 Evzen Ondracek Evzen Ondracek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Ondracek beat Hanacek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ondracek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.10 / Ondracek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Ondracek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130255
Hanacek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 54 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Ondracek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 25 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHanacek2wins
AwayOndracek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHanacek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Ondracek2n = 3Ondracek took 2 of 3
S2Hanacek2Ondracek1n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
S3Hanacek0Ondracek3n = 3Ondracek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHanacekOndracekH − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.738.7−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekOndracekBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 449 vs 108 / 21350.6%50.7%227 / 449 vs 108 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekHanacek 2.10/Ondracek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 14 · 15:00J. Hanacek228680E. Ondracek331111113
WJul 30 · 20:15J. Hanacek43512411113E. Ondracek46111011592
WJul 30 · 19:15J. Hanacek3914113113E. Ondracek371251191
J. Hanacek10
LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113WSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183
E. Ondracek10
WSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek2.38411781E. Ondracek1.5311911113WSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113LAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180LAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182WAug 27 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.001011129113J. Jnr1.73126101172WAug 27 · 14:00E. Ondracek2.0011811113L. Tuma1.73911581WAug 21 · 16:44E. Ondracek1.83311611113M. Melisek1.8311811992LAug 21 · 16:00E. Ondracek1.7381161182J. Jnr2.00119115113LAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441
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