TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131445
Played Sep 15Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191181012118––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Dvoracek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adam Dvoracek at 54.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 13–16 Adam Dvoracek Josef Hanacek has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dvoracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Dvoracek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1388 vs Dvoracek 1423
Dvoracek
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 40% vs Dvoracek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 50% vs Dvoracek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +1 · Dvoracek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.00 / Dvoracek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Dvoracek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131445
Hanacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 55 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back32% 20 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Dvoracek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 71 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 51 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek4wins
AwayDvoracek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDvoracek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek66.7%2 of 3
AwayDvoracek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek3Dvoracek7n = 10Dvoracek took 7 of 10
S2Hanacek5Dvoracek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hanacek6Dvoracek4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek2Dvoracek7n = 9Dvoracek took 7 of 9
S5Hanacek3Dvoracek2n = 5Hanacek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekDvoracekH − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.944.4−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 450 vs 253 / 48250.7%52.5%228 / 450 vs 253 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekHanacek 2.00/Dvoracek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 13:09J. Hanacek6111111117113A. Dvoracek5371361982
LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek561013141182A. Dvoracek561211166113
LAug 30 · 16:00J. Hanacek4311911752A. Dvoracek43611411113
LAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek341091141A. Dvoracek4212119103
WAug 29 · 16:00J. Hanacek451011112113A. Dvoracek4312861162
LAug 26 · 10:00J. Hanacek31661181A. Dvoracek4211119113
WAug 21 · 12:00J. Hanacek46611117113A. Dvoracek4211951162
WAug 19 · 20:48J. Hanacek48111115113A. Dvoracek38961761
LAug 19 · 19:45J. Hanacek41101110101A. Dvoracek4512912123
LAug 18 · 13:00J. Hanacek341210120A. Dvoracek401412143
J. Hanacek10
WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113WSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113LSep 14 · 09:04A. Dvoracek2.634111011O. Plyska1.4411812113WSep 14 · 08:00M. Vorel1.9111101291A. Dvoracek1.8051214113LSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770WSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Dvoracek
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