TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126502
Played Sep 14Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11510121214911––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dvoracek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Adam Dvoracek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 11–14 Adam Dvoracek Martin Vorel has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dvoracek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Dvoracek
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorel 1355 vs Dvoracek 1422
Dvoracek
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorel 20% vs Dvoracek 40%
Dvoracek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorel 30% vs Dvoracek 50%
Dvoracek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorel -1 · Dvoracek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.91 / Dvoracek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvoracek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13126502
Vorel1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 69 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back31% 22 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Dvoracek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 51 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel4wins
AwayDvoracek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDvoracek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel75%3 of 4
AwayDvoracek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S2Vorel4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S3Vorel6Dvoracek4n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S4Vorel3Dvoracek4n = 7Dvoracek took 4 of 7
S5Vorel2Dvoracek3n = 5Dvoracek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelDvoracekV − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.7−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 784 vs 254 / 48451.5%52.5%404 / 784 vs 254 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekVorel 1.91/Dvoracek 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel259880A. Dvoracek331111113
WSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel45711112143A. Dvoracek43113611122
LAug 16 · 16:14M. Vorel47119611102A. Dvoracek51911118123
LAug 16 · 13:45M. Vorel46811111152A. Dvoracek51119713113
WAug 15 · 12:00M. Vorel422011113A. Dvoracek3118760
LAug 11 · 09:45M. Vorel228950A. Dvoracek331111113
LAug 6 · 12:34M. Vorel27611461A. Dvoracek3911611113
WAug 6 · 11:00M. Vorel4011711113A. Dvoracek33611971
LJul 31 · 12:00M. Vorel53991113112A. Dvoracek511111511133
WJul 29 · 10:00M. Vorel47115119113A. Dvoracek4271171162
M. Vorel10
WSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462WSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450LSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113WSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122WSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 14 · 09:04A. Dvoracek2.634111011O. Plyska1.4411812113LSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770WSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113LSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113WSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113LSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122
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