TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128462
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111181012111––
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 68 set 4, 1-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 5–12 Oleh Plyska Adam Dvoracek has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Plyska beat Dvoracek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 2.63 / Plyska 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Plyska)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13128462
Dvoracek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 35
Plyska1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it63% 59 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek2wins
AwayPlyska8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek16.7%1 of 6
AwayPlyska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek6Plyska4n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S2Dvoracek3Plyska7n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S3Dvoracek3Plyska7n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S4Dvoracek2Plyska6n = 8Plyska took 6 of 8
S5Dvoracek1Plyska2n = 3Plyska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekPlyskaD − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.341.2−8.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 485 vs 338 / 68552.6%49.3%255 / 485 vs 338 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaDvoracek 2.63/Plyska 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:00A. Dvoracek206770O. Plyska331111113
LSep 8 · 06:30A. Dvoracek29711651O. Plyska4111811113
WAug 29 · 14:30A. Dvoracek45411111183O. Plyska4811913872
LAug 7 · 10:00A. Dvoracek291111071O. Plyska3841112113
LJul 29 · 12:00A. Dvoracek30117751O. Plyska4181111113
WJul 25 · 20:00A. Dvoracek331111113O. Plyska279990
LJul 21 · 13:09A. Dvoracek32137751O. Plyska44111111113
LJul 21 · 10:00A. Dvoracek4475111292O. Plyska501111710113
LJun 6 · 16:39A. Dvoracek22113711O. Plyska4291111113
LJun 6 · 14:00A. Dvoracek3911611292O. Plyska48811711113
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 14 · 08:00M. Vorel1.9111101291A. Dvoracek1.8051214113LSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770WSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113LSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113WSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133
O. Plyska10
WSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133WSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770LSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962
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