TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126760
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111175111113––
Oleh Plyska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 73 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 6–7 Oleh Plyska Jakub Mejzlik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1451 vs Plyska 1526
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Plyska 40%
Mejzlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 60% vs Plyska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik +1 · Plyska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.73 / Plyska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mejzlik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126760
Mejzlik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 53 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Plyska2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik5wins
AwayPlyska5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlyska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik6Plyska4n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S2Mejzlik4Plyska6n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S3Mejzlik5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S4Mejzlik3Plyska6n = 9Plyska took 6 of 9
S5Mejzlik4Plyska3n = 7Mejzlik took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikPlyskaM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.143.3−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 298 vs 338 / 68549%49.3%146 / 298 vs 338 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.73/Plyska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik314115111O. Plyska4211711133
WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik511213114113O. Plyska53101581192
WSep 8 · 07:30J. Mejzlik46116711113O. Plyska4281111572
WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik4291111113O. Plyska32115971
LAug 17 · 09:03J. Mejzlik4511911682O. Plyska49811811113
LAug 17 · 06:30J. Mejzlik46312111192O. Plyska50111495113
WAug 3 · 07:30J. Mejzlik521111118113O. Plyska3941391122
WJul 26 · 07:00J. Mejzlik44111183113O. Plyska4476111192
LJun 6 · 16:00J. Mejzlik3913117442O. Plyska491151111113
LJun 5 · 06:15J. Mejzlik259970O. Plyska331111113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462LSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123
O. Plyska10
WSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770LSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971
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