TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126454
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
17191412411311––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 17-19
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 91 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 56.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 6–7 Adam Dvoracek Jakub Mejzlik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1466 vs Dvoracek 1420
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Dvoracek 40%
Mejzlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 70% vs Dvoracek 50%
Mejzlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik -1 · Dvoracek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.73 / Dvoracek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Mejzlik)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126454
Mejzlik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 53 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Dvoracek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik5wins
AwayDvoracek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDvoracek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik2Dvoracek8n = 10Dvoracek took 8 of 10
S2Mejzlik9Dvoracek1n = 10Mejzlik took 9 of 10
S3Mejzlik4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S4Mejzlik5Dvoracek4n = 9Mejzlik took 5 of 9
S5Mejzlik3Dvoracek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikDvoracekM − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.2+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 295 vs 253 / 48249.2%52.5%145 / 295 vs 253 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.73/Dvoracek 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik49711911113A. Dvoracek3911511752
LJun 24 · 13:09J. Mejzlik48510111572A. Dvoracek531112613113
WJun 24 · 10:30J. Mejzlik511211611113A. Dvoracek4014611722
WJun 20 · 09:45J. Mejzlik341112113A. Dvoracek1741030
WJun 6 · 15:00J. Mejzlik4211119113A. Dvoracek25441161
LApr 30 · 17:30J. Mejzlik4691191162A. Dvoracek42112117113
LNov 8 · 13:58J. Mejzlik351111581A. Dvoracek4013511113
LNov 8 · 11:15J. Mejzlik34711971A. Dvoracek4111911103
LOct 29 · 10:27J. Mejzlik4071111742A. Dvoracek46118511113
WOct 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik521014116113A. Dvoracek49121261182
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113LSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113WSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461WSep 9 · 08:18A. Dvoracek2.7511715113M. Hasman1.409111331LSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122
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