TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126513
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 64.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 12–5 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Plyska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Plyska
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1516 vs Dvoracek 1422
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 40% vs Dvoracek 60%
Dvoracek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 50% vs Dvoracek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska -3 · Dvoracek +1
Plyska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Plyska) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.57 / Dvoracek 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Plyska)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126513
Plyska1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it63% 59 of 94
Dvoracek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska8wins
AwayDvoracek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska75%3 of 4
AwayDvoracek16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S2Plyska7Dvoracek3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S3Plyska7Dvoracek3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S4Plyska6Dvoracek2n = 8Plyska took 6 of 8
S5Plyska2Dvoracek1n = 3Plyska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaDvoracekP − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.3+8.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 684 vs 254 / 48449.3%52.5%337 / 684 vs 254 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.57/Dvoracek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska331111113A. Dvoracek206770
WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska4111811113A. Dvoracek29711651
LAug 29 · 14:30O. Plyska4811913872A. Dvoracek45411111183
WAug 7 · 10:00O. Plyska3841112113A. Dvoracek291111071
WJul 29 · 12:00O. Plyska4181111113A. Dvoracek30117751
LJul 25 · 20:00O. Plyska279990A. Dvoracek331111113
WJul 21 · 13:09O. Plyska44111111113A. Dvoracek32137751
WJul 21 · 10:00O. Plyska501111710113A. Dvoracek4475111292
WJun 6 · 16:39O. Plyska4291111113A. Dvoracek22113711
WJun 6 · 14:00O. Plyska48811711113A. Dvoracek3911611292
O. Plyska10
WSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133LSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113LSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113WSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651
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