TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126734
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111210711611––
Martin Vorel
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 54–56 Martin Vorel Oleh Plyska has won 54 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-56 in 110
Vorel
Correct
gap of 2 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1504 vs Vorel 1355
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 60% vs Vorel 0%
Plyska
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 60% vs Vorel 20%
Plyska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska -2 · Vorel -5
Vorel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 2.10 / Vorel 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorel)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126734
Plyska2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Vorel1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 97 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska4wins
AwayVorel6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska66.7%2 of 3
AwayVorel71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska3Vorel7n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10
S2Plyska6Vorel4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S3Plyska5Vorel5n = 10split evenly
S4Plyska2Vorel7n = 9Vorel took 7 of 9
S5Plyska3Vorel2n = 5Plyska took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaVorelP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.442.5−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 683 vs 404 / 78449.2%51.5%336 / 683 vs 404 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelPlyska 2.10/Vorel 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska32712761M. Vorel43111011113
WSep 7 · 09:09O. Plyska53151188113M. Vorel50138111172
WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska521151213113M. Vorel50511141192
LJul 29 · 13:03O. Plyska32571191M. Vorel3911116113
WJul 29 · 11:00O. Plyska4071111113M. Vorel35117981
LJul 27 · 12:00O. Plyska32412881M. Vorel43111011113
LJul 21 · 11:00O. Plyska3911811632M. Vorel43311711113
LJul 3 · 05:30O. Plyska196760M. Vorel331111113
WJun 30 · 10:45O. Plyska47711117113M. Vorel4311781162
LJun 18 · 08:33O. Plyska48101111792M. Vorel46128411113
O. Plyska10
LSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192
M. Vorel10
LSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462LSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450LSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113WSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122WSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.