TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131381
Played Sep 15Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119911119––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 1–1 Josef Hanacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schmidtmayer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1404 vs Hanacek 1413
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer -1 · Hanacek +3
Hanacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13131381
Schmidtmayer1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 62 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Hanacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 55 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back32% 20 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer1wins
AwayHanacek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerHanacekS − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match42.039.5+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 449 vs 230 / 45245.7%50.9%205 / 449 vs 230 / 452Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer43811101132J. Hanacek49119126113
WAug 17 · 09:30F. Schmidtmayer4181111113J. Hanacek30114961
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113WSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113WSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113LSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581
J. Hanacek10
WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281WSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161WSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113
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