TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131414
Played Sep 15Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151311711119––
Milan Barton
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Barton to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Milan Barton below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Milan Barton at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1401 vs Barton 1408
Barton
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 40% vs Barton 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 60% vs Barton 40%
Hanacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +2 · Barton -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 1.83 / Barton 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barton)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131414
Hanacek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Barton1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 451 vs 12 / 3650.8%33.3%229 / 451 vs 12 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonHanacek 1.83/Barton 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Hanacek10
WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281WSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek2.201216113J. Hanacek1.61101470WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030
M. Barton10
WSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113LSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WJul 16 · 20:29K. Jirousek1.9191050M. Barton1.801112113WJul 16 · 19:30M. Barton1.91118118113K. Jirousek1.8071171172LJul 16 · 18:30M. Barton1.441121181L. Tuma2.6381113113LJul 16 · 17:30M. Barton2.10712871F. Kubos1.67111011113LMay 25 · 20:58E. Ondracek1.5711116113M. Barton2.25561121LMay 25 · 20:00M. Barton1.805730E. Ondracek1.911111113WMay 25 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.837960M. Barton1.831111113WMay 25 · 18:00M. Drabek1.809811101M. Barton1.9111118123
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